article · PLoS ONE · 2011

Expert Status and Performance

Mark A. Burgman, Marissa F. McBride, Raquel Ashton, Andrew Speirs‐Bridge, Louisa Flander, Bonnie C. Wintle, Fiona Fidler, Libby Rumpff, Charles Twardy

Cited by 312Open access

Abstract

Expert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience. The social expectation hypothesis argues that more highly regarded and more experienced experts will give better advice. We asked experts to predict how they will perform, and how their peers will perform, on sets of questions. The results indicate that the way experts regard each other is consistent, but unfortunately, ranks are a poor guide to actual performance. Expert advice will be more accurate if technical decisions routinely use broadly-defined expert groups, structured question protocols and feedback.

Cite this paper

APA 7

Burgman, M. A., McBride, M. F., Ashton, R., Speirs‐Bridge, A., Flander, L., Wintle, B. C., Fidler, F., Rumpff, L., & Twardy, C. (2011). Expert Status and Performance. PLoS ONE, 6(7), e22998. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998

MLA 9

Burgman, Mark A., et al. “Expert Status and Performance.” PLoS ONE, vol. 6, no. 7, 2011, p. e22998, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998.

Chicago

Burgman, Mark A., Marissa F. McBride, Raquel Ashton, Andrew Speirs‐Bridge, Louisa Flander, Bonnie C. Wintle, Fiona Fidler, Libby Rumpff, and Charles Twardy. 2011. “Expert Status and Performance.” PLoS ONE 6 (7): e22998. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998.

Harvard

Burgman, M.A. et al. (2011) ‘Expert Status and Performance’, PLoS ONE, 6(7), p. e22998. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998.

BibTeX

@article{burgman2011expert,
  title = {{Expert Status and Performance}},
  author = {Burgman, Mark A. and McBride, Marissa F. and Ashton, Raquel and Speirs‐Bridge, Andrew and Flander, Louisa and Wintle, Bonnie C. and Fidler, Fiona and Rumpff, Libby and Twardy, Charles},
  journal = {PLoS ONE},
  volume = {6},
  number = {7},
  pages = {e22998},
  year = {2011},
  doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0022998}
}

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