other · Open Science Framework · 2022

Conditional Probability and Human Judgment

Li, Xi, Ran, Yaxuan

Cited by 0Open access

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the irrationality of people's judgment of P(a|c) under the combination of different level of P(a) and P(c), specifically comparing “high P(c) and low P(a)” and “low P(c) and high P(a)”, which is called as conditional probability bias. This study uses a judgment scenario of disease which includes the infection rate and disability rate.

Cite this paper

APA 7

Li, X., & Ran, Y. (2022). Conditional Probability and Human Judgment. Open Science Framework. https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/m2hza

MLA 9

Li, Xi, and Yaxuan Ran. “Conditional Probability and Human Judgment.” Open Science Framework, 2022, https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/m2hza.

Chicago

Li, Xi, and Yaxuan Ran. 2022. “Conditional Probability and Human Judgment.” Open Science Framework. https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/m2hza.

Harvard

Li, X. and Ran, Y. (2022) ‘Conditional Probability and Human Judgment’, Open Science Framework. Available at: https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/m2hza.

BibTeX

@misc{li2022conditional,
  title = {{Conditional Probability and Human Judgment}},
  author = {Li, Xi and Ran, Yaxuan},
  journal = {Open Science Framework},
  year = {2022},
  doi = {10.17605/osf.io/m2hza}
}

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