Recession
Colin Platt · 2025
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About 10,000 papers for “Recession”
Colin Platt · 2025
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Brătian Vasile Radu · 2016
This paper is trying to test the hypothesis of efficient market (EMH Efficient Market Hypothesis), the case of capital market in Romania during the economic financial crisis. According to the purpose in view our research is aiming at testing the hypothesis of random walk of stock exchange indexes BET, BET-C, BET_FI of Bucharest Stock Exchange. In this respect we will enforce statistic tests to see if the capital market in Romania is efficient in a weak form during this period.
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Francesco Furlanetto, Nicolas Groshenny, Francesco Furlanettoy et al. · 2015
We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of uctuations in the e¤ectiveness of the labor-market matching process with a focus on the Great Recession. We conduct our analysis in the context of an estimated medium-scale DSGE model with sticky prices and equilibrium search unemployment that features a shock to the matching e ¢ ciency (or mismatch shock). We nd that this shock is not important for unemployment uctuations in normal times. However, it plays a somewhat larger role during the Great Recession when it contributes to raise the actual unemployment rate by around 1.3 percentage points and the natural rate by around 2 percentage points. The mismatch shock is the dominant driver of the natural rate of unemployment and explains part of the recent shift of the Beveridge curve.
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2022
This seminal text demystifies the terminology of working in the fashion industry today, providing definitions of processes, techniques, features, and even some historical terms that you need to know. The dictionary now includes coverage of sustainability, smart materials, new technologies and processes. This book has been reorganized in a purely alphabetical order for easy reference. Lavishly illustrated with over 800 illustrations capturing the styles and details of fashion, this reference work is a must have for students, designers, fashion merchandisers, historians, and fashion enthusiasts.
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Henri Nyberg, Henri Nyberg · 2008
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MacDonagh, Patrick · Framingham State University Digital Repository (Framingham State University) · 1942
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Georgiana-Virginia Bonea · Journal of Community Positive Practices · 2024
This study analyzes the social consequences of the recession in Romania, viewing it not merely as an economic downturn but as a catalyst for significant social transformations. It explores issues such as unequal income distribution, labor market changes, and access to basic services to highlight contemporary social realities. Utilizing secondary data, the study examines macro-social indicators to assess societal progress or regression over time. The research identifies a key limitation in aligning established recession theories with current data, noting that traditional recession indicators have been reactive to past events. The contemporary socio-economic context has adopted unprecedented management strategies, challenging established economic indicators. The findings reveal that despite traditional recession indicators like GDP, poverty rates, and unemployment not showing typical recessionary trends, the social reality suggests a deeper economic crisis. Measures like generating inflation to counter global economic pressures are unsustainable, leading to devalued personal savings, increased taxes, and higher costs for essentials. The study recommends government actions including increased infrastructure investment, tax policy adjustments to stimulate growth and equity, enhanced contributions to social and health programs, and regulatory policies to ensure economic stability. Progressive taxation is emphasized as a critical measure to reduce social inequalities and resource disparities, promoting a more equitable and caring society. This approach is seen as essential to managing recession impacts and supporting vulnerable populations.
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Jennifer Hull Dorsey · Cornell University Press eBooks · 2011
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Olivier Armantier, John Sporn, Olivier Armantier et al. · 2013
This paper presents preliminary findings and is being distributed to economists and other interested readers solely to stimulate discussion and elicit comments. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and are not necessarily reflective of views at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the authors. Auctions Implemented by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York during the Great
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Roger E. A. Farmer · 1929
Has the US recession already ended? This column says that it very likely has, based on evidence from the last fourteen recessions. It predicts that the NBER will declare that the recession ended in May 2009. But that doesn't rule out the dangers of a double dip or jobless recovery. A number of economists, including Chairman Bernanke of the US Federal Reserve, have declared that the current recession is very likely over (Robb, 2009), and two reporters for Forbes (Wesbury and Stein, 2009) have dated the end of the recession to May 2009. This column adds credence to that statement by studying the past behaviour of the stock market and the unemployment rate. What does the stock market say about the end of a recession? To answer this question, I assembled a series of plots on the stock market and the unemployment rate during the past fourteen recessions. From these data, it seems likely that the NBER will decide that the current US recession ended in May 2009. This guess is based on the fact that in all fourteen recessions since 1929, the monthly year-on-year rate of growth of the stock market changed direction an average of 4.4 months before the end of the recession, as shown in Table 1. Table 1. Recession dating and changes of direction in stock market and unemployment growth
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Georgiana-Virginia Bonea, Horia Mihai · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics
This study analyzes the social consequences of the recession in Romania, viewing it not merely as an economic downturn but as a catalyst for significant social transformations. It explores issues such as unequal income distribution, labor market changes, and access to basic services to highlight contemporary social realities. Utilizing secondary data, the study examines macro-social indicators to assess societal progress or regression over time. The research identifies a key limitation in aligning established recession theories with current data, noting that traditional recession indicators have been reactive to past events. The contemporary socio-economic context has adopted unprecedented management strategies, challenging established economic indicators. The findings reveal that despite traditional recession indicators like GDP, poverty rates, and unemployment not showing typical recessionary trends, the social reality suggests a deeper economic crisis. Measures like generating inflation to counter global economic pressures are unsustainable, leading to devalued personal savings, increased taxes, and higher costs for essentials. The study recommends government actions including increased infrastructure investment, tax policy adjustments to stimulate growth and equity, enhanced contributions to social and health programs, and regulatory policies to ensure economic stability. Progressive taxation is emphasized as a critical measure to reduce social inequalities and resource disparities, promoting a more equitable and caring society. This approach is seen as essential to managing recession impacts and supporting vulnerable populations.
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Pasupuleti, Satya · 2014
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M. Odekon · Encyclopedia of World Poverty · 2006
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2014
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Wong, Brent, 1945- · University of Auckland Data Repository
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Muniz, Veyzon Campos, Cardozo, Virgínia Fehlberg · LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) · 2017
This review constitutes a synthesis of the main points of the Debate on inequality and future, promoted by 92nd Street Y, among Paul Krugman, Thomas Piketty and Joseph Stiglitz. In this sense, it gives emphasis to the summary of the ideas and arguments brought by the authors in their analysis about the coping of socioeconomic inequalities and their perspectives on the future of the global economy, and especially the American and European, from the present context of crisis. Lastly, it asserts to relevant scientific contribution for the diagnosis of problems and reflection on key issues solutions for the affirmation of social and economic development.
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Sotirios Paroutis A, Mark Bennett B, Loizos Heracleous A et al. · 2012
Available online xxxx Could smart city technology be considered as a strategic option for firms, especially in recession conditions? Most prior smart city studies focus on the nature and impact of technological systems adopted in the context of particular urban conditions. At the same time, studies about recessions examine primarily their reasons and consequences. Currently, there is no research examining the role of city technology as a strategic option for firms in a recession environment. To address this gap we develop a conceptual framework from studies of recessions and examine the case study of the IBM Smarter Cities initiative against this framework. Our case builds on interview and archival data. Our study offers two contributions. First, we offer an empirical examination of city technology from the perspective of stakeholders and actors who are tasked with the role to create and disseminate these technologies instead of the perspective of cities that use the technology. Second, we propose a strategic view to city technology and showcase the distinctive theoretical and empirical insights that future studies can develop by shifting the attention on the processes and practices inside the ICT organisations creating and disseminating these city technologies.
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Kevin L. Kliesen · Economic Synopses · 2007
This essay compares the number of newspaper stories in the New York Times and Wall Street Journal with the word "recession" and the timing of actual recessions. The number of stories rises during periods of slow growth and recession and remains low during periods of economic expansion.
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O. Emre Ergungor · Economic Commentary (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland) · 2016
Statistical models that estimate 12-month-ahead recession probabilities using the term spread have been around for many years. However, the reliability of the term spread as a predictor may have been affected by short-term interest rates being at zero. At the zero lower bound, long-term yields cannot go too far into negative territory due to the portfolio constraints of institutional investors. Therefore, the yield curve may not invert when it should or as much as it should despite the anticipated path of the economy. I enhance the simple model with two variables that should have predictive power for recessions.
Cited by 14Open access
Rachel Hatch · Digital Commons - IWU (Illinois Wesleyan University) · 2010
Hard times provide professors with a wealth of real-life examples to share with students.
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