Leonard A. Smith · Cambridge University Press eBooks · 2006
Predictability evolves. The relation between our models and reality is one of similarity, not identity, and predictability takes form only within the context of our models. Thus predictability is a function of our understanding, our technology and our dedication to the task. The imperfection of our models implies that theoretical limits to predictability in the present may be surpassed; they need not limit predictability in the future. How then are we to exploit probabilistic forecasts extracted from our models, along with observations of the single realisation corresponding to each forecast, to improve the structure and formulation of our models? Can we exploit observations as one agent of a natural selection and happily allow our understanding to evolve without any ultimate goal, giving up the common vision of slowly approaching the Perfect Model? This chapter addresses these questions in a rather applied manner, and it adds a fourth: Might the mirage of a Perfect Model actually impede model improvement?
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kevinroccapriore · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) · 2021
This first release includes the codes and data availability to reproduce the results obtained in the paper titled "Predictability of localized plasmonic responses in nanoparticle assemblies" by Roccapriore et al.
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2004
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Peter C Chu, Leonid M. Ivanov, L. M. Ivanov et al. · 2016
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Philip R Wood · Oxford University Press eBooks · 2022
Abstract This chapter reviews comparatively the predictability of contracts, especially the role of codification, binding judicial precedent, and the doctrine internationally of good faith in contract, especially in England, New York, France, and Germany, and other main jurisdictions. It reviews the good faith doctrine comparatively in relation to contract terminations, heads of terms, pre-contract disclosure, hardship clauses, and other cases. It discusses the application of the doctrine of good faith internationally to consents and discretions of one party to a contract, a contract to to negotiate in good faith, and the filling-in of inadequate contracts to give them business efficacy. It reviews the reasons that English and New York courts do not usually override the express terms of contracts by reason of the good faith doctrine, but the courts of France and Germany may do so.
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Philip Hans Franses · Cambridge University Press eBooks · 2024
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STEELE, A. · PubMed Central · 1997
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Juan Carlos Vallejo, Miguel A. F. Sanjuán · Springer series in synergetics · 2019
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2013
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Krithi Ramamritham · ACM Computing Surveys · 1996
No abstract available.
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Brigid Costello · Springer series on cultural computing · 2018
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Richard C. J. Somerville · Cambridge University Press eBooks · 2025
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Doron Avramov, Tarun Chordia · 2003
Tel Aviv, Texas A&M and Tulane for comments and suggestions. All errors are out own. A Firm Level Analysis of Time-Series
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Chemical & Engineering News · 1975
RETURN TO ISSUEPREVAdvertisementNEXTPREDICTABILITYCite this: Chem. Eng. News 1975, 53, 27, 7Publication Date (Print):July 7, 1975Publication History Published online7 November 2010Published inissue 7 July 1975https://doi.org/10.1021/cen-v053n027.p007Copyright © 1975 American Chemical Society This publication is free to access through this site. Learn MoreArticle Views70Altmetric-Citations1LEARN ABOUT THESE METRICSArticle Views are the COUNTER-compliant sum of full text article downloads since November 2008 (both PDF and HTML) across all institutions and individuals. These metrics are regularly updated to reflect usage leading up to the last few days.Citations are the number of other articles citing this article, calculated by Crossref and updated daily. Find more information about Crossref citation counts.The Altmetric Attention Score is a quantitative measure of the attention that a research article has received online. Clicking on the donut icon will load a page at altmetric.com with additional details about the score and the social media presence for the given article. Find more information on the Altmetric Attention Score and how the score is calculated. Share Add toView InAdd Full Text with ReferenceAdd Description ExportRISCitationCitation and abstractCitation and referencesMore Options Share onFacebookTwitterWechatLinked InReddit PDF (271 KB) Get e-Alerts
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World Bank · The World Bank eBooks · 2019
Stresses that individual decisions made by regulators should, to a substantial degree, prove predictable for regulated entities, because predictability adds certainty to their operating environment, thus favoring effective decision-making. It also enhances confidence in the impartiality and quality of the regulator’s decisions, but it requires ensuring the principles and rules the regulator follows when making decisions remain explicit, publicly available, and well understood. Predictability in regulatory decision-making proves a commonly cited investor concern, and clear regulations—explicitly stated through published policies, procedures, etc.—enable individuals or organizations to judge acceptable behavior. Predictability may prove hard to achieve in post-fragile environments, though establishing it should remain a high priority. Helpful recommendations include (1) establishing regulatory functions in law; (2) helping the regulator publish material on how it will carry out its duties; (3) providing regulator staff with clear guidelines so they know how to carry out their duties; and (4) publishing formal written policies.
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Gail Ivanoff, Ely Merzbach · 2024
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David Scott · Bulletin of Miscellaneous Information (Royal Gardens Kew)
When Jaco Pastorius played at the Playboy Mansion's Jazz Festival, his offensive performance was described as being "a slap in the face of all that is polite and predictable." This song is my version of what the audience might have preferred to hear that day, with a lot of Jaco's influence coming through in the smooth, mid-range tones of a fretless bass being played with total control.
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Darbellay, Georges A. · Digital Repository (National Repository of Grey Literature) · 1997
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Christoph Engel · Cambridge University Press eBooks · 2005
Human behaviour is infinitely complex, the result of thousands of interactions between predispositions, external factors and physical and cognitive processes. It is also highly unpredictable, which makes meaningful social engagement difficult without the aid of some external framework such as that offered by an institution. Both formal and informal institutions can provide the element of predictability necessary for successful, complex interactions, a factor which is often overlooked by institutional analysts and designers. Drawing on a wide range of disciplines including psychology, economics, and sociological and political studies, this book develops a coherent and accessible theory for explaining the unpredictability of individual behaviour. The author then highlights the danger of institutional reforms undermining the very capacity to generate predictability which is so central to their success. This book will appeal to academics, researchers and professionals in many fields including management studies, behavioural economics and the new, interdisciplinary field of institutional design.
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Tudor Dumitraş, Priya Narasimhan · 2007
Unpredictability in COTS-based systems often manifests as occasional instances of uncontrollably-high response times. A particular category of COTS systems, fault-tolerant (FT) middleware, is used in critical enterprise and embedded applications where predictability is of paramount importance. Our prior empirical study, which used a client-server microbenchmark, suggested that hard bounds for the maximum latency are hard to establish a priori, but that the unpredictability may be confined to less than 1% of the requests. In this paper, we present empirical data, from 7 different three-tier, FT-middleware applications, that shows strong evidence supporting this "magical 1%" hypothesis. We conducted a controlled experiment with 7 teams of students from a graduate-level course at Carnegie Mellon University. Each team, starting from a common three-tier architecture, independently implemented and evaluated an original application using middleware (either CORBA or EJB) and a custom-implemented fault-tolerance mechanism (relying on either state-machine or primary-backup replication) for the middle-tier server. This experiment shows that unpredictability may not be avoidable, even in the absence of faults, and that, in some cases, the random latency outliers are larger than the time needed to recover from a fault. The data also reveals a statistically-significant result that, across all 7 applications, unpredictability is confined to the highest 1% of the recorded end-to-end latencies and is not correlated with the request rate, the size of messages exchanged or the number of clients. This suggests that strict predictability is hard to achieve in FT-middleware systems and that developers of critical FT applications should focus on guaranteeing bounds for statistical measures, such as the 99th percentile of the latency.
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